Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 1.107080 1.344814 1.649357 2.080580 2.697988 3.590338 5.065959
2025-06-29 0.775885 1.026169 1.393736 2.013056 3.132349 5.355373 11.326156
2025-07-06 0.614484 0.855831 1.242321 1.976590 3.566398 7.796630 28.657049
2025-07-13 0.544695 0.794288 1.226988 2.151899 4.590595 14.122170 197.304100
2025-07-20 0.486248 0.733240 1.187695 2.254827 5.603656 25.625325 NaN
2025-07-27 0.432401 0.667169 1.117459 2.250010 6.333505 43.843692 NaN
2025-08-03 0.384546 0.602607 1.032940 2.169336 6.721984 69.796901 NaN
2025-08-10 0.355360 0.567418 1.000778 2.217890 7.841857 174.750891 NaN
2025-08-17 0.334647 0.544748 0.990035 2.326806 9.635312 1143.092228 NaN
2025-08-24 0.311025 0.512769 0.950866 2.327833 10.865106 374989.316044 NaN
2025-08-31 0.286511 0.475890 0.893093 2.241267 11.300458 NaN NaN
2025-09-07 0.273839 0.461572 0.887136 2.342168 13.997872 NaN NaN
2025-09-14 0.258029 0.439306 0.858417 2.349874 16.035371 NaN NaN
2025-09-21 0.241100 0.412980 0.815165 2.282338 17.007610 NaN NaN
2025-09-28 0.227026 0.391393 0.780977 2.241031 18.480597 NaN NaN
2025-10-05 0.222558 0.390076 0.800525 2.452859 27.372370 NaN NaN
2025-10-12 0.215494 0.382187 0.800560 2.577788 37.597027 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 0.205620 0.366975 0.777202 2.571956 44.276789 NaN NaN
2025-10-26 0.194431 0.347833 0.739767 2.474096 45.599529 NaN NaN
2025-11-02 0.187853 0.338744 0.730644 2.532957 60.058542 NaN NaN
2025-11-09 0.183258 0.333815 0.733184 2.665421 93.638498 NaN NaN
2025-11-16 0.176367 0.322893 0.715724 2.666673 118.978328 NaN NaN
2025-11-23 0.168029 0.307952 0.683910 2.561339 120.635712 NaN NaN